Do we really have confidence in Theresa May?

What does the Confidence Vote of 12th December 2018 mean for the Rt Hon Prime Minister Theresa May?

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With the turn of the new millennia came the turn of newly divisive politics: who rules the world, women! But let’s not be gender presumptive here. Who rules the world? Just about everyone with a slight political or economical opinion. What I mean to say is, there’s a whole load of opinion and debate out there about what’s right and wrong. I’m specifically talking about Brexit. And I’m specifically talking about one person in particular, Prime Minister Theresa May.

Cameron out, May in.

A formidable woman some say and a traitor to others. Approximately two years and four months into her premiership, she has endured such pressure that would normally cause many in her position to surrender. From picking up the pieces from her predecessor, to setting out the future of the United Kingdom in a more intense global world, she inevitably jumped in at the deep end.  But she didn’t drown, but instead put her arm bands on and learnt to swim.

Unlike her opposition counterpart, who has a net worth of approximately £3 million might I add, she has had a career outside of politics. So, ‘career politician’ is not the title for her. Her passion to get the job done in a way that’s fair for the majority and what is in the interest of this nation’s future makes her one tough woman. 

Mogg v May

Looking at the most recent crisis to topple her was the Confidence Vote on 12th December where after much speculation of her defeat by the Economic Research Group, she won with a respectable 200 votes.  This means at least 200 MP’s support her ideas, especially around Brexit. Now that compared to 650 MP’s doesn’t seem like much but there are a significant number in the Commons who favour Brexit, or a version of it at least. There is the DUP and their ‘huge’ number of MP’s, the 10 or so Labour MP’s who have hinted to back the Prime Minister’s Brexit deal and a number of MP’s from the smaller parties.

As the time approaches for a vote on the deal, it is suspected that many more MP’s are to join the ranks of #backthedeal as the pressure is mounting to ‘just get on with it’. For the 117 dissenting MP’s who did not have confidence in Theresa May, many of them will come around to the idea that the deal maybe isn’t so bad.

It’s no lie politicians are meant to be people pleasers, well it is the people who give them the job. So,it’s fair to say this deal can be deemed as a people pleaser. In a nutshell it covers the main arguments for Brexit as well as the main benefits of the European Union. This deal ensures our borders and laws are controlled by this nation and not 27 other nations, yet it allows us to ensure friction-less trade where the UK will need to respect EU custom laws and vice-versa.

Will she ever leave?

All in all, the Confidence Vote was not as negative as many people claim, especially the Leader of Her Majesty’s ‘Loyal’ Opposition who mocked her, even though 177 out of his 212 Labour MP’s had no confidence in him in 2016. The Confidence Vote now means Mrs May is secure for another year from her rebel bunch and the only other real obstacle is a parliamentary confidence vote.Or the Queen dissolves parliament, or McDonnell gets his way and causes a revolutionary uprising.

So, there are a few options but looking at it realistically, how many of them will actually materialise? Labour have been called out many times for their lack of support for anything the Tories do, regardless of what it is. An infamous example of this is Corbyn’s opposition to the Withdrawal Bill when he never actually read the whole thing. With the public aware of this and the infighting amongst Labour, it is doubtful they will unite in time to rid of Mrs May. The Queen is far too gracious to get involved in this mess and respects democracy, so dissolution from Her Majesty probably isn’t likely.

Take away the political propaganda, the party politics and the obsessiveness of Brexit overshadowing everything, it’s just as well we have a tough PM who seems to rise above these obstacles. Just as well considering it is the centenary anniversary of the first General Election in which women were allowed to vote.  So, it is doubtful Mrs May is going anywhere yet.

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Afzal Pervez, a LLB Law graduate, is a former student politician; holding the position as an Inspiring Future Leader. He led the mooting classes, mentored students in public speaking, political activism and academic skills at his university. He has participated in many legal and political debates around the world whilst encouraging young people to develop and voice an opinion. Afzal is particularly passionate about Human Rights and Foreign Policy. As a UK Young Leader for the US Embassy he is regularly involved in diplomatic work and visits. He is also currently a writer and an independent researcher, producing research on Politics, Theology and Economics.

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