On the 8th May, Trump announced his decision to walk away from the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, commonly known as the Iran Nuclear Deal. This was a deal negotiated by the Obama Administration in July 2015, then signed by Iran and six other nations (P5+1) and implemented on the 16th January 2016 Iran’s nuclear programme timeline. Since it’s signing, Trump and many other Republicans have been vocally critical, with Trump having labelled it “Disastrously Flawed” in the Republican Primaries Trump on nuclear deal 2016. In my opinion, Trump’s decision to leave this agreement was the correct one, largely because the deal has proved ineffective. This article will outline the reasons why I believe this is the case and what I believe the Trump administration’s subsequent action should be.
To begin with, the Iran Deal was poorly negotiated. For example, this deal awards $150 Billion in sanction relief to the Iranian regime Iran sanctions relief dividend, with the understanding being that this capital would be invested into restoring Iran’s economy and the nations people after having been devastated by years of economic sanctions. However, the Iranian regime has not chosen to invest into it’s people or infrastructure, but rather into building up the army Iran to expand military spending, as well as continuing support for terrorist groups in the region, such as Hezboallah in Lebanon, the Houthi militants in Yemen, as well as the murderous regime of Bashar Assad. Furthermore, despite the Iranian regime having halted it’s nuclear weapons programme, it continues to possess the technology necessary to produce a nuclear weapons Iran nuclear technology possession. However, this is cause of concern, especially considering that JSPOA ends in 2025, thus leaving Iran in a position to continue their nuclear programme Iran may begin nuclear weapon construction in 2025. There are signs that this may be the case, considering that Iran is also building long range missiles that have the potential to be applied for a nuclear capability Iran missile capabilities. This was something that the deal failed to cover.
Another problem is the weak judgement that the Obama regime had during negotiations, with their conviction being that the regime of Hassan Rouhani would be more moderate than it’s predecessor and therefore more willing to negotiate a deal. While this regime is moderate compared to it’s predecessors, they cannot be considered by any means moderate. This regime still openly calls for the destruction of Israel, as well as frequently displaying anti American sentiment. The most recent example of this occurred on the 8th May, with the Iranian parliament having burned the US flag while chanting “Death to America” Iranian politicians set US flag alight. Moreover, the regime of Rouhani continues to routinely suppress protests, as well as disqualify opponents, having disqualified approximately 6000 candidates, a large quantity of these being progressive Iranian “Moderate” Victory. Furthermore, the regime has continued to display antagonism towards it’s neighbours, such as Saudi Arabia and, in particular, Israel , having backed Shia militias in Syria that have moved to the south of Damascus towards the borders of Israel and Lebanon, as well as having launched 20 rockets aimed at Israeli territory in the Golan heights from this position, most of which were shot down by the Iron dome system Iran missile strike on Golan Heights 9th May.
Therefore, I believe that Trump should reimpose sanctions on Iran, a decision that will place further economic pressure on the regime and therefore inhibit the governments ability to continue expansion of their military and financing of Shia terrorist regimes in the region, thus protecting Israel and preventing Iran growing it’s sphere of influence in the Middle East Impact of sanctions on Iran-in charts. By doing this, it is possible that the Iranian regime will eventually be forced to renegotiate the terms of this deal, thus allowing both the US and the remaining nations in the agreement to pursue a deal that enforces protection of Israel while containing Iran’s sphere of influence Pompeo: Iran’s behaviour post deal. This can be done through a guarantee to dispose of it’s stockpile of technology required to build nuclear weapons, as well as ensure a large reduction in Iran’s possession of ballistic missiles capable of carrying nuclear weapons, something that could deter an arms race in the middle east. In addition, tough regulation regarding Iran’s funding of terrorist groups across the middle east should also be actioned. This is something I would recommend other nations in the P5+1 to carry out, especially the UK and France.