Election 2018 has involved 150 local authority councils across the nation the last time these seats were contested was in 2014 so what was the picture then?

In 2014 how, politics looked so different the national government was a coalition of two parties, the Conservative party and the liberal Democrats led by David Cameron and Nick Clegg, the official opposition was still the Labour Party but was ruled by Ed Miliband and there was a rising contender to the settled parties, the challenger was UKIP (United Kingdom Independence Party) led by Nigel Farage.
The results achieved by each party mentioned above;

The Conservative Party – David Cameron
Popular Vote – 29%
Swing – 4%
Councils – 41
Councils +/- 11 (loss)
Councillors – 1,364
Councillor’s +/- 236 (loss)

The Labour Party – Ed Miliband
Popular Vote – 31%
Swing – 2%
Councils – 82
Councils +/- 6 (gain)
Councillors – 2,121
Councillor’s +/- 324 (gain)

The Liberal Democrats – Nick Clegg
Popular Vote – 13%
Swing – 1% (negative)
Councils – 6
Councils +/- 2 (loss)
Councillors 427
Councillor’s +/- 310 (loss)

UKIP – Nigel Farage
Popular Vote 17%
Swing – 5% (negative)
Councils – 0
Councils +/- 0
Councillors – 166
Councillor’s +/- 163 (gain)

Now the results there are exactly how they should be because as a rule of thumb the current party in parliament should always lose seats in a local election to the opposition party, this is how generally how our elections have always gone until the last few years.

In 2017 you saw all Scottish and Welsh councils, 34 English councils and 8 mayors go for election and the general trend was not followed, the ruling Conservative Party had gained 11 councils and 563 councillors whilst the opposition Labour party had lost 7 councils and 382 councillors, that generally should not happen.
However even after 8 years in power the Conservative Party are still going strong, the incumbent party should never be doing this well after eight years in power, look at Labour between 1997 and 2005 they had lost between that time period over 2000 councillors the Labour Party however during this eight-year period the Labour Party have not had much success.

Why is this though? Well when I was campaigning in the Chesterfield constituency during the general election in 2017 I was canvassing in a strong Labour ward within the constituency and this one, in particular, is an old Markham coal area where a Conservative would have no chance in hell of finding support, I was shocked.
I knocked on someone’s door who then answered and proceeded to tell me that he is a Labour Party member, was an old coal mine worker, a supporter of Arthur Scargill but cannot support the Labour party or Jeremy Corbyn in the general election because he does not trust them with the safety and security of the country.

That’s the problem Labour keep facing, the Conservative Party keep having scandal after scandal, you would have thought that the Labour Party would be able to capitalise on this but the Labour Party is just as incompetent and until they drop Jeremy Corbyn and the shambles of an opposition cabinet they will never be able to gain in any election.

From what the results show is that people seem to have stuck with the status quo in most places. Labour only gaining 55 councillors from last time, the Conservatives only losing 26, of course, the surprise is that the Liberal Democrats have risen from the dead so to speak, winning 4 councils all from the Conservative party and electing 73 councillors. Their success is down to Brexit, all constituencies’ they got elected in a majority were remain constituencies, now I cannot say for sure that they did not win on local issues but for myself, it would just appear that Brexit would be the main issue on people’s mind here.

However, saying that Brexit was not the dominating factor because UKIP has lost 123 councillors retaining only 3 from 2014 making this one of their worst electing nights in such a long time, you can then deduce from that, people did view UKIP as a one issue party and of course since the referendum has been had and gone, they are now no longer relevant.

The Conservative Party did better than people were expecting because this election was predominantly London based, everyone, myself included thought that the Conservatives would get destroyed in London especially. This, however, was not the case, the target seats which were campaigned heavily by the Labour party and its leaders; Wandsworth, Barnett, Hillingdon did not change hands and the Conservative Party was able to hold onto these councils.

Wandsworth – Conservatives hold
Councillors – 33
Change from 2014 – 8 (loss)
Councillors – 26
Change from 2014 – 7 (gain)
Councillors – 1
Change from 2014 – 1 (gain)

Barnett – Conservatives gain from no overall control
Councillors – 33=8
Change from 2014 – 6 (gain)
Councillors – 25
Change from 2014 – 5 (loss)
Liberal Democrat
Councillors – 0
Change from 2014 – 1 (loss

Hillingdon – Conservatives hold
Councillors – 44
Change from 2014 – 4 (gain)
Councillors – 21
Change from 2014 – 4 (lost)

What this shows us is that even in London where the Conservatives were worried of being wiped out and the Labour Party confident they would wipe them out, even after all the Conservative scandal’s in the last month Labour still could not win these councils which just points out that the appeal of Jeremy Corbyn has hit a ceiling and is not likely to go any further.

Outside London, the story is the same too, Derby, for example, saw the Labour Party lose control of the party to no overall control after the Conservatives won 3 seats from Labour. Amber valley the Conservatives gained 2 from labour.

I will give Labour a little bit of credit though they did manage to turn Trafford from a Conservative majority to no overall control and win a majority in Plymouth but they have been in my opinion their only achievement for the night so for a party which is set on winning the next general election these results should not be where they are.

The incumbent party should really be getting wiped off the map by the opposition and that is just not the case they are unable to appeal to anyone more than there already established base, swing voters are choosing to stick with the status quo and not change allegiances for something more appealing because there is nothing more appealing, and for party officials in the Labour Party to claim these are a “solid set of results” are just pure delusional, Labour is going backward not forward and in this election after all the might they have walked away empty handed.

The results for 2018 :
The Conservative Party – Theresa May
Councils – 46
Councils +/- 2 (loss)
Councillors – 1,327
Councillor’s +/- 26 (loss)

The labour party – Jeremy Corbyn
Councils – 72
Councils +/- 1 (loss)
Councillors – 2,283
Councillor’s +/- 55 (gain)

The Liberal Democrats – Vince Cable
Councils – 9
Councils +/- 4 (gain)
Councillors 534
Councillor’s +/- 75 (gain)

UKIP – Gerrard Batten
Councils – 0
Councils +/- 0
Councillors – 3
Councillor’s +/- 123 (loss)


Leave a Reply

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.