The 8th of May 2020 will be the day after the 2020 General Election. Theresa May has made it increasingly clear that despite the recent turmoil of the Labour Party, she intends to implement Brexit and her One Nation legislative programme and serve the Conservatives’ full term. I predict what the UK will wake up to the day after the election.
Theresa May’s Conservative Party stormed to victory over Jeremy Corbyn’s Labour Party. The results are as follows:
Conservatives: 42% – 371 Seats (168 Majority)
Labour: 25% – 130 Seats
Liberal Democrats: 10% – 5 Seats
UKIP: 12% – 26 Seats
SNP: 45% (Scotland) – 49 Seats
Green: 4% – 0 Seats
It was a great night for the Conservative Party. Theresa May was returned as Prime Minister after providing the strong leadership she promised. Many disillusioned Blarite Labour voters were swayed by the One Nation vision that May pursued. She delivered on her promise to tackle inequality and reform the business sector.
The boundary changes that her government had pushed through in 2018 saw the number of MPs reduced to 600, which saw a number of Labour casualties. Throughout the election campaign, it was clear that opinion polls showed a clear led for the Tories as Labour’s socialist platform failed to connect to the electorate.
May’s strong deal from Brexit only aided her vote. She delivered on taking the UK out of the EU in 2019 and thanks to Liam Fox, Secretary for International Trade, had trade deals with India, Australia and Canada prepared. The economic recession that was meant to follow Brexit did not occur, growth was weak in the initial years of 2016 and 2017, but picked up and grew as strong as 3% thanks to the new trade opportunities. The deal also meant that some of the traditional Conservative voters that had previously switched to UKIP came back, solidifying much of Essex.
However, it was an appalling night for Labour. After winning the leadership bid for a second time in 2016, Corbyn remained leader and Labour continued to be divided. In the run up to the election, many Labour MPs refused to publically back Corbyn and instead pleaded to the country to return them to government and they would oust him. They refrained as a party from a formal split in the knowledge that would only worsen their prospect.
The worst result for them was the 22 traditional Labour seats in the North of England that were lost to UKIP. After Labour remained left wing and disconnected from their voter base, UKIP, led by Stephen Woolfe, pushed themselves into the British Establishment as a working class man’s party, after reinventing themselves following Brexit.
The Liberal Democrats failed to recover from their poor performance in 2015. They ran on a platform after opposing Brexit for the past 4 years and the public, now at greater ease with Brexit, punished them for it at the ballot Box.
The SNP, now led by Angus Robertson capitalised on Labour’s demise by solidifying their hold on Scotland. Nicola Sturgeon resigned in 2019 after failing to get a second Scottish Independence Referendum or a deal from the EU for Scotland to remain.
After being returned as Prime Minister, Theresa May makes a statement in front of Downing Street. She promises to continue her vision of a One Nation Conservative government, eradicate the remainder of the deficit and continue to invest in infrastructure. She also pledges that the UK will soon sign a free trade deal with President Clinton’s USA and China.
In the immediacy after the vote, Corbyn finally resigns and whilst the Labour Party look for a new leader, they know that the 200 seat lead the Conservatives have will see them in government for some years to come.